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The inflection point is recursive self-improvement. Once an AI achieves that, and I mean really achieves it - where it can start developing and deploying novel solutions to deep problems that currently bottleneck its own capabilities - that's where one would suddenly leap out in front of the pack and then begin extending its lead. Nobody's there yet though, so their performance is clustering around an asymptotic limit of what LLMs are capable of.


> If Intel technically leapfrog TSMC and their 18nm is better than TSMC 20nm this year but;

Think you mean 1.8nm, aka 18A. We're way past 18nm and 20nm.


How long ago did nm numbers stop being descriptions of size of chip and start being purely marketing names? About a decade?


https://www.extremetech.com/computing/296154-how-are-process...

"For a long time, gate length (the length of the transistor gate) and half-pitch (half the distance between two identical features on a chip) matched the process node name, but the last time this was true was 1997"


Oh wow, I didn't realise it has been that long! Thanks for sharing


Same here, I would have put it much more recently than that; I wonder how long before we'll be into negative numbers...


While it is true that the nm numbers are bullshit, using the same made-up number helps keep the conversation on track, haha.


Yeah. That is what happen when I post it just before I felt asleep. Too late now can't edit it.


We're clearly in an era where the US Govt simply doesn't have enough money to throw at everything it wants to encourage, and needs to develop alternate means of incentivizing (or de-disincentivizing) those things. Sensible minimal regulation is one, there may be others. Time to get creative and resourceful.


The budget is the policy, stripped of rhetoric. What any government spends money on IS a full and complete expression of its priorities. The rest is circus.

What increased and decreased in the most recent budget bill? That is the full and complete story.

If no $$ for open source or open weight model development, then that is not a policy priority, despite any nice words to the contrary.


The US has been continuously running a budget deficit for decades (brief blip at the end of Clinton/beginning of W Bush). This is more of an "epoch" than "era". I love the idea of incentives that aren't tax breaks!


It’s genuinely bizarre to read a comment like this which seems to imply there is some kind of grand strategy behind this when the reality is and always has been “own the libs”.

They very clearly have no idea what the fuck they are doing they just know what other people say they should do and their toddler reaction is to do the opposite.


AI, which they are hoping takes over EVERYTHING, is probably one of the worthwhile ones for government to be involved in. If it has the chance to be this revolutionary, which would be better:

The government owning the machine that does everything.

Tech bros, with their recent love of guruship, with their willingness to do any dark pattern if it means bigger boats for them, owning the entire labor supply in order to improve the lives of 8 bay area families.


TLDR: "China has enforced a “real-name registration” system for over a decade, meaning that Chinese internet companies almost always know the true identity of users who are, say, ordering a dress online, leaving a social media comment or playing a video game.

With the new centralized ID system, the Chinese government will take over the process. Users who submit a trove of personal information — including scans of their faces — will receive a unique code to access online accounts.

This means that companies, like social media site Weibo or online shopping behemoth Alibaba, will no longer be able to see the personal information of their users with digital IDs — but Chinese authorities will be able to see the real identity behind online accounts across a range of sites."


Humans congregating into cities, specializing and developing expert capabilities in particular fields, and collaborating and relying on others for what they're not specialized in, is a big part of the story of the Enlightenment -> Industrial Revolution -> Electricity Revolution -> Information Age.


It's interesting to me that there was already a manufacturing facility in the US that could readily make something as random as a memory foam dog bed on short notice, even if somewhat more expensively.

I had though all such simple things had been completely outsourced to China or Vietnam or somewhere. That does imply if that if manufacturing economies of scale can be returned to the US, the price could become competitive, even for low value-added products like this.


Fwiw the associate here is Sahil Lavingia, founder of Gumroad and a longtime HN'er:

https://news.ycombinator.com/user?id=sahillavingia

He posted about his experience here:

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=44116061


Source code signing goes a long way to solving that problem. Assuming the source author reviews their own code and signs it immediately after.


It wasn't really a "fork" though, was it? Rather a from-scratch re-implementation of the Nix/NixOS concepts using Guile Scheme in place of the Nix config language.

https://guix.gnu.org/en/about/


From the link you shared:

> It uses low-level mechanisms from the Nix package manager, but packages are defined as native Guile modules, using extensions to the Scheme language—which makes it nicely hackable.

Also check out: https://git.savannah.gnu.org/cgit/guix.git/tree/?h=v0.1


Or just use Obsidian's built-in E2E encrypted syncing.

https://obsidian.md/sync

But yeah, since it stores everything as flat markdown files, you can sync or archive your Obsidian docs folder with anything.


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